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Predict & WIN: Boks vs Barbarians
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SA teams flex their muscle as URC heats up
South Africa’s URC franchises continue to make their presence felt across the competition’s statistical landscape, with Round 12 offering another reminder of the attacking firepower and individual quality spread across the Vodacom Bulls, DHL Stormers, Hollywoodbets Sharks and Fidelity SecureDrive Lions.
From the Bulls’ scoring spree to the Stormers’ territorial dominance and several standout individual performances, the numbers from the latest round – and the season as a whole – underline just how influential the South African sides remain.
Bulls lead the attacking charge
If there was one South African side that truly lit up Round 12, it was the Vodacom Bulls.
Jake White’s men finished the round top of the tries scored chart with seven, while also leading the competition for points scored with 41.
Those numbers reflect a Bulls side that has increasingly leaned into its attacking weapons. With players such as Canan Moodie, Sebastian de Klerk and Embrose Papier capable of breaking games open, the Pretoria outfit continues to show why it remains one of the competition’s most dangerous attacking teams.
Over the course of the season, that attacking consistency has also paid dividends. The Bulls sit third overall for tries scored with 45, trailing only Glasgow Warriors and Leinster.
Individually, Bulls players also featured strongly in the Round 12 metrics. Centre Harold Vorster topped the round’s line-break statistics with four, while scrumhalf Embrose Papier was among the leaders for metres gained.
Stormers creating pressure
The DHL Stormers may not have dominated the Round 12 scoreboard, but the numbers show they still spent plenty of time on the front foot.
John Dobson’s side finished first for visits to the opposition 22 with 15, highlighting the territorial pressure they were able to apply.
That ability to create opportunities remains one of the Stormers’ biggest strengths. Even when finishing proves difficult, the Cape side consistently generates attacking platforms.
Among the individual standouts, Evan Roos once again showed his influence with 15 carries in the round, placing him among the most active ball carriers in the competition.
Roos’ work rate and dynamism have been a hallmark of the Stormers’ pack all season.
Lions continue to deliver attacking output
The Fidelity SecureDrive Lions have quietly built one of the more productive attacking records in the competition.
In Round 12 they finished joint second for points scored with 24, underlining their ability to convert opportunities when they present themselves.
Across the season the Johannesburg side has maintained that attacking momentum, ranking among the top teams for points scored with 325.
Players like Henco van Wyk and Quan Horn continue to provide attacking spark, with Horn also featuring prominently in the season-long kicking metrics.
Sharks battling in the physical exchanges
For the Hollywoodbets Sharks, Round 12 highlighted the defensive demands they faced.
The Durban side recorded 92 tackles during the round, reflecting the physical workload they had to absorb.
The Sharks’ attacking threats remain clear, however, with players such as Andre Esterhuizen continuing to feature among the competition’s most effective ball carriers.
As the season progresses, converting pressure into points will be key to ensuring the Durban side climbs further up the standings.
SA influence remains strong
Zooming out across the full season statistics, South Africa’s presence across the URC remains significant.
The Bulls are among the competition’s leading attacking sides, the Lions continue to accumulate points, the Stormers remain dangerous in opposition territory and the Sharks continue to bring their physical edge.
On the individual front, players like Sebastian de Klerk, Evan Roos, Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu and Quan Horn all feature prominently across the competition’s attacking metrics.
With the URC season entering its decisive stretch, the numbers suggest South Africa’s franchises will continue to play a major role in shaping the race for the playoffs.
WHAT SA TEAMS MUST DO TO MAKE THE PLAY-OFFS
And if Round 12 is anything to go by, the best may still be to come.
Key SA team stats
Round 12 – team highlights
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Vodacom Bulls
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1st – Tries scored: 7
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1st – Points scored: 41
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Fidelity SecureDrive Lions
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Joint 2nd – Points scored: 24
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DHL Stormers
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1st – Visits to opposition 22: 15
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Hollywoodbets Sharks
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Tackles made: 92
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Vodacom Bulls
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Metres gained: 471 (3rd overall)
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DHL Stormers
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Defenders beaten: 30 (2nd overall)
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Season totals – SA teams
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Vodacom Bulls
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3rd – Tries scored: 45
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5th – Points scored: 304
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4th – Metres gained: 4430
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Fidelity SecureDrive Lions
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5th – Points scored: 325
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6th – Metres gained: 4363
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Hollywoodbets Sharks
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7th – Tries scored: 38
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DHL Stormers
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13th – Metres gained: 3458
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Key SA player stats – Round 12
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Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu (Stormers)
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17 carries made
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Evan Roos (Stormers)
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15 carries made
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Harold Vorster (Bulls)
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4 line breaks (top in the round)
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Embrose Papier (Bulls)
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75 metres gained
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Andre Esterhuizen (Sharks)
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6 defenders beaten
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Henco van Wyk (Lions)
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5 defenders beaten
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Season player highlights (SA players)
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Sebastian de Klerk (Bulls)
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584 metres gained this season
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Quan Horn (Lions)
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2,529 kick metres gained
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Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu (Stormers)
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52 points scored this season
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Embrose Papier (Bulls)
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5 tries scored this season
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KEO News Wire
Markus Muller will play for the Springboks in 2026
Markus Muller will play for the Springboks in 2026. Good enough is old enough, and Springboks coach Rassie Erasmus has never had an issue picking a young one or an old one.
Muller and SA under 20 captain Riley Norton are experiencing the Springboks culture in Cape Town this week as part of Erasmus’s first national alignment camp for the season as the Boks coach counts down the 21 matches (20 Tests and the Barbarians season opener) before the start of the 2027 Rugby World Cup in Australia.
The Boks, their four World Cup golds the most in the 10 tournament history, would make history in winning a third successive World Cup. They won the 2019 and 2023 World Cups, a back-to-back feat only achieved once before by Richie McCaw’s All Blacks in 2011 and 2015.
Here’s a piece I did on Muller for the Sunday Times.
Markus Muller, the schoolboy sensation from Paarl Gimnasium, needs backing more than protection from the hype.
And that is exactly the endorsement he got from Springboks coach Rassie Erasmus earlier this week with inclusion in the Springboks alignment camp, in Cape Town, next week.
Muller, 18 years-old, signed with the Stormers in 2026 and has already trained with the senior squad. He played for the SA under 20s against Georgia last weekend.
He is an exceptional talent, and age has never been a consideration for talents of his ilk. They transition straight onto the biggest stages
Canan Moodie made his Springboks Test debut in 2022 as a 19-year-old winger against Australia in Sydney. He was superb. A year later he was a World Cup winner.
Frans Steyn made his Test debut against Ireland in 2006 as a 19 year-old winger and was South Africa’s Player of the Match. A year later he was a World Cup winner.
Muller has the potential and pedigree to write a similar script, given the next World Cup is in Australia in 2027.
Erasmus has never referenced age as a negative in his selections. He picked hooker Schalk Brits (38) for World Cup duty in 2019 and entrusted the then 37 year-old Deon Fourie with a multi-faceted role at the 2023 World Cup. Brits and Fourie are World Cup winners.
Some of the sport’s iconic backs were playing Test rugby in their teens. John Kirwan, Jeff Wilson and Jonah Lomu were all All Blacks wingers as 19 year-olds. James O’Connor played wing for the Wallabies as an 18 year-old and the midfield duo of Tim Horan and Jason Little were Wallabies as 19 year-olds.
Muller, comfortable wearing No 12 and No 13, scored more than 50 tries in his Grade 11 and 12 years playing for Paarl Gim, Western Province and SA Schools.
He also kicked many points and in 2025 he scored 43 points in one match.
Having watched him through SuperSport’s Schools broadcasts and seen several of his matches live, his point of difference is not in size, but in a rugby IQ that complements a physical presence.
He is a back, who in his final schools’ year, relished joining the forwards in a lineout maul, as much as he did running a try-scoring support line as a midfield back.
I can see him developing into a hybrid player as he physically evolves.
His try-scoring headlined most of his school matches, but his assists were even more impressive. He is not a one-trick pony who dominated schools rugby because of superior size.
He is a player with an understanding of the nuances of the sport and a natural appreciation that rugby is a team sport.
Erasmus has recognised his on-field quality and will get to experience the youngster’s energy up close. Culture is the essence of Erasmus’s World Cup-winning Springboks.
If a player doesn’t fit in, no matter his pedigree, he won’t get selected.
Muller will fit in and there is no ‘if’ about him playing for the Springboks; the only question is when he plays for the Springboks.
KEO News Wire
Vodacom URC latest: South Africa’s road to the play-offs
URC latest: SA’s road to the play-offs looks good, despite the Stormers mid-season slump. The Cape-based club remain in a strong position, with the resurgent Bulls and Lions running hot.
The Sharks have work to do to make the top eight.
Here’s everything you need to know about what the Stormers, currently in fifth place, the Lions, in seventh, the Bulls in eighth, and the Sharks, in 11th have to do to make the play-offs.
Bulls
14 Mar – 14:00
Bulls vs Stormers
20 Mar – 19:00
Bulls vs Cardiff Rugby
28 Mar – 14:00
Bulls vs Munster
17 Apr – 20:45
Dragons vs Bulls
25 Apr – 20:45
Scarlets vs Bulls
09 May – 13:45
Bulls vs Zebre
16 May – 16:00
Bulls vs Benetton
Stormers
14 Mar – 14:00
Bulls vs Stormers
22 Mar – 15:00
Stormers vs Dragons
28 Mar – 19:00
Stormers vs Edinburgh
18 Apr – 13:45
Stormers vs Connacht
25 Apr – 13:45
Stormers vs Glasgow Warriors
08 May – 20:45
Ulster vs Stormers
15 May – 20:45
Cardiff Rugby vs Stormers
Lions
21 Mar – 14:45
Lions vs Edinburgh
28 Mar – 16:30
Lions vs Dragons
18 Apr – 16:00
Lions vs Glasgow Warriors
25 Apr – 16:00
Lions vs Connacht
09 May – 18:30
Leinster vs Lions
16 May – 20:45
Munster vs Lions
Sharks
21 Mar – 17:00
Sharks vs Munster
27 Mar – 19:00
Sharks vs Cardiff Rugby
18 Apr – 20:45
Ospreys vs Sharks
24 Apr – 20:45
Edinburgh vs Sharks
09 May – 16:00
Sharks vs Benetton
16 May – 13:45
Sharks vs Zebre
A recap of the Fidelity Secure Drive Lions winning the South Africa Shield, courtesy of the URC official communications team.
Their trophy triumph was confirmed when their 24-10 victory over the DHL Stormers was followed by the Hollywoodbets Sharks losing 41-12 to the Vodacom Bulls.
The Lions won four of their six domestic derbies to finish three points ahead of the Sharks, with the Bulls and Stormers – who meet in Pretoria later this month – now unable to catch them.
As well as topping the South African table, they are also looking good in the overall Vodacom URC log as they set their sights on the play-offs. They have moved into seventh spot following back-to-back Ellis Park victories over the Sharks and now the Stormers.
Skipper Francke Horn said: “It’s been a fantastic last two weeks. Two really good wins, local derbies that in previous seasons could have gone the other way.”
Head coach Ivan van Rooyen added: “I think we’ve grown a lot over the last month. The experienced leaders are driving hard and pushing what’s needed.
“We spoke during pre-season about needing to be better and more consistent against South African teams, as that’s where we felt we lost points in the past. So I’m incredibly proud.”
Playing their first game since the announcement of their new sponsored branding, the Lions built a solid lead against the Stormers in Johannesburg with tries from flanker Sibabalwe Mahashe, centre Henco van Wyk and wing Erich Cronje.
They then defended heroically, keeping their opponents out even when they were down to 13 men following two yellow cards in quick succession, one of which – to prop Conrad van Vuuren – was upgraded to a 20 minute red card.
The defeat for the Stormers came on a weekend when the league table was turned on its head with the top three going into the Origin round of matches all being beaten.
Leaders Glasgow Warriors suffered a dramatic last minute loss to Connacht Rugby in Galway with Kiwi No 8 Sean Jansen scoring a lineout maul try in the final play to secure a 15-10 triumph.
Second-placed Leinster Rugby saw their seven game winning run in the league come to an end as they were defeated 8-7 by Cardiff Rugby in monsoon-like conditions at the Arms Park.
That result sees Cardiff move up to third, overtaking the Stormers who have now lost their last three Vodacom URC matches having won their first eight.
Munster Rugby have advanced into fourth spot thanks to a hard-fought 21-7 win over Zebre Parma at Thomond Park where it was 7-7 at half-time.
The Stormers are down to fifth, while Ulster Rugby have dropped to sixth after losing 21-10 to the Ospreys in Bridgend.
Below the celebrating Lions, the top eight is completed by the Bulls who ran in seven tries in beating the Sharks at Loftus Versfeld, with two apiece from scrum-half Embrose Papier and centre Harold Vorster.
The weekend’s other games saw Edinburgh Rugby beat the Scarlets 24-19, while Dragons RFC and Benetton Rugby drew 15-15 amid more late drama at Rodney Parade.
Ospreys On The Play-Off Hunt
Ospreys coach Mark Jones believes his team can make the play-offs having moved within a point of the top eight by extending their unbeaten league run to five matches with a 21-10 win over Ulster.
They secured the spoils with late tries from Player of the Match James Ratti and winger Dan Kasende in front of their delighted fans at Bridgend’s Brewery Field.
Reflecting on his team’s hopes of qualifying for the knock-out stages, Jones said: “There are six rounds left. We have got to go on the road a little bit in the next few weeks, but we’ve also got some derbies in there.
“There’s a lot of rugby to be played. It is tight. Anybody at any time can get in that top eight at the moment, right down to about 14th.
“One bonus point win, one loss can shift you up and down the table three or four places.
“So we are going to have to string some games together. But that’s five now we are undefeated in the league, so that’s a bit of momentum.
“I do think we can make the top eight. I really believe in the group.”
Trailing 10-7 at the break, the Ospreys hammered away through the second half, but couldn’t turn pressure into points until flanker Ratti went over from a tap penalty 12 minutes from time, with winger Kasende then pouncing to seal the victory late on.
“We made very hard work of it in patches, particularly the second half,” said Jones.
“I think with about 15 minutes to go, it was 70 per cent territory and not a lot to show for it.
“Our conversion rate in the red zone was well below what it normally is.
“But we found a way. We went away from the lineout and went after a tap strike. It was smart from the boys there just to mix it up.
“We have got it up our sleeve. It’s another way of us trying to convert in that area of the pitch.
“We showed some good leadership on the field there to identify it and adjust well. I was really pleased with the composure and just pleased for the boys overall.”
Adding his assessment, blindside Ratti said: “It was a big physical battle.
“Ulster are having a good season and we knew they were going to bring it physically, so it was up to us to match it and try and go beyond.
“We back ourselves against anyone here at the Brewery Field. It’s always a good occasion down here. You can hear the fans all the time. When you are blowing, you hear the crowd. They get behind you and it gives you that little extra bit in your legs to keep fighting.
“Even after we went behind quite early, we were confident we were still going to be in the game. We stuck to our process, fought back and I thought we deserved it in the end.”
Saturday evening’s other game in Wales saw a dramatic ending at Rodney Parade where the Dragons and Benetton drew 15-15.
It looked as though the Italian visitors were going to claim the spoils with Player of the Match Onisi Ratave having crossed twice to put them in front.
But, in the final play of the game, the Dragons’ centre Fine Inise touched down to level the scores.
That gave Angus O’Brien the chance to secure a fifth successive home win for his team, but the full-back’s touchline conversion just drifted wide.
His coach Filo Tiatia said: “What I said to the group is the silver lining is we’ve got two points out of it.
“I was very proud of the performance. The character, the grit, the scrap and the fight wanting to stay in it was excellent.”
Giving the view from the Benetton camp, their skipper Andy Uren said: “We let that one go. We should have won the game. I think we were the better team. We are very, very disappointed.”
Belcher Blown Away By His Team’s Fighting Spirit
Cardiff captain Liam Belcher has paid tribute to the “unbelievable fight” from his team in the wake of their victory over league champions Leinster.
Belcher’s boys triumphed 8-7 at a rainswept Arms Park as they held firm in the tense closing stages to end their opponents’ 11-match winning run in all competitions and move up to third in the Vodacom URC table.
The way they saw the game out was all the more impressive given they were down to 14 men for the final 15 minutes with winger Jacob Beetham unable to get back on the field following his yellow card as his team ran down the clock in a protracted final play.
“From the boys’ point of view, the fight they showed in that weather was unbelievable,” said Wales hooker Belcher.
“It was sopping out there. It was like a monsoon in the first half, so fair credit to them.
“We did the last 15 minutes with 14 men because we didn’t get Jacob back on quick enough. That’s just a credit to the squad.”
Reflecting on the win, he added: “For the table, it’s quite big. It hopefully puts us in a better position than we were last year.”
Beetham was understandably relieved, with Leinster having crossed straight after his 65th minute sin binning for a deliberate knock-on to cut the deficit to just a point.
“When they scored that try, I was thinking the worst and thinking ‘Oh no’ because it feels like it comes back on you if you are the one that has got the yellow,” he said.
“I wanted to get back on and I was a little bit nervous at the end. I was just so happy when we managed to keep them out and come away with the win. It was really cool.
“A win against Leinster is amazing. They are such a great outfit, so whenever we get a chance to play a team like that you are licking your lips thinking this could be an amazing win if we get it. To be fair, we stuck to our game plan and it worked.”
Head coach Corniel van Zyl picked out one area of his team’s performance for particular praise.
“Our discipline was the best it has been this season and potentially what I can remember in my coaching experience because we only conceded three penalties which was massive,” he said.
“It’s always nice to get on the right side of the result. I thought we adapted well to the conditions. Obviously the kicking came into play and I was pleased with how the plan unfolded.
“We pride ourselves on performing at home. We want to make this place a fortress and be as good as we can at the Arms Park in front of our friends and families. That was the biggest focus.”
Cardiff’s try came from scrum-half Aled Davies who claimed his first touchdown for the club.
“It was great. The weather was tough, but we played some good rugby,” he said.
“We have got big games coming up and we know that, so it’s important for us to really crack on with the end of the season.”
Leinster coach Leo Cullen said: “I thought Cardiff deserved to win. They were better in terms of their kicking strategy and they were incredibly disciplined with everything that they did.”
In Friday night’s other game, Edinburgh played some sparkling rugby as they came from 14-0 down to beat the Scarlets 24-19 at the Hive Stadium, with full-back Harry Paterson claiming the winning try 11 minutes from time.
Their coach Sean Everitt commented: “My nerves were shot after that! It must have been enjoyable to watch from the side, I’m sure.
“I didn’t think it would be perfect, but I didn’t expect to have conceded 15 turnovers by half-time. So that put us under the pump.
“It was then just about looking after the ball and tidying up the breakdown. We put together the first 10 minutes in the second half really well and that set the foundation for us.”
Scarlets director of rugby Nigel Davies said: “We were on top in the main in the first half, but Edinburgh played some great rugby in the second half and we couldn’t contain them. We had opportunities, but we just weren’t clinical enough.”
What’s Coming Next?
There’s a break from league action next week as the focus switches back to the Guinness Six Nations.
But there are three rearranged fixtures on the eve of the Super Saturday finale to the Championship, with Connacht hosting the Scarlets and Edinburgh entertaining Ulster on Friday, March 13. The Bulls are at home to the Stormers on Saturday, March 14.
Then there’s a full programme on the weekend of March 20-21.
KEO News Wire
Brutal Bulls. Beautiful rugby. Bumper crowd.
The Bulls were brutal in their slaughter of the Sharks, but the rugby they played was beautiful.
And 33 000 made it to Loftus for the celebration.
This was another statement made by Johan Ackermann’s Bulls. A few weeks ago they were as imposing in scoring 52 points against the Lions at Ellis Park.
They won 41-12 against the Sharks at Loftus on Saturday, but with more accurate goal kicking, they would have passed 50 points.
The Sharks, but for a brief period in the second half, were never in this game. They were shut out defensively in the opening quarter and when the Bulls got a chance to strike, they did so through the Midas touch of Canan Moodie.
Moodie is a special player, whether playing right wing or outside centre.
On Saturday, he played in the No 13 jersey, and defensively he produced a masterclass to contain the dangerous Jurenzo Julius. On attack, he was even better. Moodie glides, but there is an acceleration that is a differentiator. He showed this in scoring his try after inside centre Harold Vorster had made the initial running.
Vorster was outstanding against the Lions and he was influential against the Sharks. He was up against the in-form Andre Esterhuizen, the Sharks captain and bulldozer. He stood his ground and provided pivotal attacking moments.
Esterhuizen is a beast and he is always going to keep three defenders busy, but on Saturday even he was powerless to halt a Bulls stampede that yielded four tries within 35 minutes.
Vorster made two tries and scored the final one of the match.
Bulls scrumhalf Embrose Paper benefitted from accuracy in his support line running, but his all-round game was impressive. He kicked with authority and he played with balance. His partnership with veteran World Cup-winning flyhalf Handre Pollard will be significant in the Bulls charge for the play-offs.
The Bulls forwards, collectively, were united and in sync. Individually, Elrigh Louw, Nizaam Carr and Ruan Nortje were prominent, and it took replacement prop Wilco Louw just one scrum to stabilise the Bulls scrum when introduced in the 55th minute and just a second scrum to win the Bulls a penalty.
The Bulls, transformed in playing style, discipline, conviction, attacking shape and defensive mongrel from the side that lost seven successive matches in all competitions earlier in the season, made it four wins on the bounce in the URC, with three of them being away from home.
I was at Loftus for the Bulls Investec Champions Cup defeat to Bordeaux when they conceded 21 unanswered points in the second half and failed to score a point in the last 40 minutes after scoring 33 points in the first half.
I watched them disintegrate against Bristol in conceding four tries within 15 minutes and 61 points.
Ackermann was at a loss to explain the ineptness of such quality players, the lack of care for the ball when in possession, the ease with which they raised the white flag defensively and the lack of appetite for the jersey.
They were a shambles.
URC ORIGIN WEEKEND: SA SCHOOLS SYSTEM WORKS
Ackermann had inherited support staff coaches in Andries Bekker and Chris Rossouw, who had been long-time assistants to the departed head coach and Director of Rugby Jake White.
Ackermann had to make a change and get his own assistants into the coach’s box, take charge of the forwards and lay down the law that this was his team and that they would play his way, which has always been a convincing mixture of power and pizzaz.
What I saw at Loftus against the Sharks was a team coached by Johan Ackermann, playing with the balance he preaches as a coaching philosophy and with the heart that he has always demanded from players.
They cared.
They defended their try line when leading 36-12 as if they were leading 13-12.
There has been a cultural shift for the Bulls, led by Ackermann, who in the seven successive defeats in all competitions earlier in the season, insisted that things would change for the better.
They have and the wins against the Lions and Sharks are confirmation that the Bulls are back and that alone is a thing of beauty in the context of South African rugby.
As for the Sharks, to borrow from their coach JP Pietersen, the past fortnight has been a case of one step forward and three back, especially after the back-to-back wins against the Stormers.
AFRICA PICKS: WINNING WITH THE BULLS
Scorers
For the Bulls:
Tries: Moodie, De Klerk, Papier 2, Vorster, De Wet, Vorster
Cons: Pollard 3
For the Sharks:
Tries: Van der Merwe, Jacobs
Cons: Hendrikse
Teams:
Bulls: 15 David Kriel, 14 Sebastian de Klerk, 13 Canan Moodie, 12 Harold Vorster, 11 Kurt-Lee Arendse, 10 Handre Pollard, 9 Embrose Papier; 8 Nizaam Carr, 7 Elrich Louw, 6 Marcell Coetzee, 5 Ruan Nortje, 4 Ruan Vermaak, 3 Morne Smith, 2 Jan Hendrik Wessels, 1 Alulutho Tshakweni
Substitutes: 16 Marco van Staden, 17 Sti Sithole, 18 Wilco Louw, 19 Cobus Wiese, 20 Jeandre Rudolph, 21 Paul de Wet, 22 Willie le Roux, 23 Stravino Jacobs
Sharks: 15 Jaco Williams, 14 Edwill van der Merwe, 13 Jurenzo Julius, 12 Andre Esterhuizen (captain), 11 Makazole Mapimpi, 10 Jordan Hendrikse, 9 Jaden Hendrikse, 8 Phepsi Buthelezi, 7 Vincent Tshituka, 6 Tino Mavesere, 5 Emile van Heerden, 4 Jason Jenkins, 3 Vincent Koch, 2 Eduan Swart, 1 Ox Nche
Substitutes: 16 Fez Mbatha, 17 Phatu Ganyane, 18 Hanro Jacobs, 19 Corne Rahl, 20 Thomas Dyer, 21 Ross Braude, 22 Siya Masuku, Yaw Penxe
KEO News Wire
Clarity beats clutter as lethal Lions outthink and outplay the Stormers
The difference at Ellis Park was clarity of thought and a respect for ball possession. The Lions had it and the Stormers didn’t.
Heroic defence in the final quarter complemented an on-field rugby intelligence the Stormers could not match as the Lions won 24-10 in their Vodacom United Rugby Championship derby.
It was a match they never looked like losing as a double strike within a few minutes took them to 14-0 after the first 20 minutes had been scoreless.
Morné van den Berg controlled the derby from the first quarter and never loosened his grip. The Springbok scrumhalf was decisive, accurate and composed.
Van den Berg’s kicking game turned the Stormers repeatedly and his contestable kick led to winger Angelo Davids’ chase and offload for Siba Mahashe’s opening try. Minutes later, a clever short bounce kick from Van den Berg created indecision and Henco van Wyk profited. Two moments. Two correct decisions. Fourteen points.
The Lions kept it simple: catch, pass and kick when required. They attacked from the right areas and forced the Stormers to play from deep. They needed just 24 tackles in the first half because they owned territory and possession.
The Stormers looked like a side that had not played for a month. Their aerial work was poor. Their handling was loose and their decision-making was muddled. When they had the ball, they forced offloads and when they required patience, they rushed most things.
This is a team that in the last month has sought the sensational in execution when the situation screamed simplicity.
The Stormers improved at scrum time after the break and gained territory. The Lions conceded penalties and lost two players to head-contact cards, playing with 13 for a decisive period and 14 v 15 in the final five minutes.
That should have been the Stormers’ moment, when having 15 versus 13, but it wasn’t because of poor decision-making and a disregard for the preciousness of the ball in the contact.
Held up three times over the line, they failed to score a single point in the final half hour despite the numerical advantage. The Lions defended with determination, but also structure in the final quarter, and attacked with potency when transitioning. The Stormers, who self-destructed often in their own half, attacked without precision when given so many try-scoring opportunities in the second half.
URC ORIGIN WEEKEND: SA’S SCHOOLS SYSTEM WORKS
The win was the Lions fourth from their six derby matches and it secured them the SA Shield, with the winner determined exclusively from the derby matches. The Lions also consolidated a top eight URC league position.
The Stormers, unbeaten and top a month ago, have now lost three straight league matches and four of their last five in all competitions.
Scorers
Lions
Tries: Siba Mahashe, Henco Van Wyk, Erich Cronje.
Conversions: Chris Smith (3)
Penalties: Smith
Stormers
Try: JD Schickerling
Conversion: Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu
Penalty: Feinberg-Mngomezulu
Teams:
Lions: 15 Quan Horn, 14 Kelly Mpeku, 13 Henco van Wyk, 12 Bronson Mills, 11 Angelo Davids, 10 Chris Smith, 9 Morné van den Berg, 8 Francke Horn (captain), 7 Batho Hlekani, 6 Siba Mahashe, 5 Darrien Landsberg, 4 Etienne Oosthuizen, 3 RF Schoeman, 2 PJ Botha, 1 SJ Kotze.
Substitutes: 16 Franco Marais, 17 Eddie Davids, 18 Conrad van Vuuren, 19 Reinhard Nothnagel, 20 Siba Qoma, 21 Renzo du Plessis, 22 Nico Steyn, 23 Erich Cronjé
Stormers: 15 Warrick Gelant, 14 Dylan Maart, 13 Wandisile Simelane, 12 Jonathan Roche, 11 Leolin Zas, 10 Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu, 9 Stefan Ungerer, 8 Evan Roos, 7 Ben-Jason Dixon, 6 Paul de Villiers, 5 JD Schickerling (captain), 4 Adré Smith, 3 Sazi Sandi, 2 JJ Kotzé, 1 Ntuthuko Mchunu.
Substitutes: 16 André-Hugo Venter, 17 Vernon Matongo, 18 Zachary Porthen, 19 Connor Evans, 20 Marcel Theunissen, Hacjivah Dayimani, 22 Imad Khan, 23 Jurie Matthee
KEO News Wire
South Africa’s State of Origin – our Schools system works
The elite layer is concentrated but across the Bulls, Lions, Sharks and Stormers there are 64 schools represented. That tells you the base of the South African game is broad and that the state of Origin on this celebratory United Rugby Championship Origin weekend is healthy.
The natural feeder system is in Paarl and Stellenbosch. It has always been the case with Paarl Boys High, Paarl Gim, Paul Roos and Boland Landbou producing elite professional players with each matric cycle.
Grey College, in the past 30 years, has owned the title of a Springboks and professional rugby player factory more than any other school in the country. Others, like Boshaai, Gim and Paul Roos are always present, but over this period Grey College has produced the greatest number.
In this URC season, Grey College and Boshaai share the top spot of providing 18 players, split across all four South African URC clubs.
Krugersdorp’s Monument (Lions) and Bishops (Stormers) are a celebration of home grown talent graduating from schoolboy to professional rugby without having to relocate, while the traditional rugby powerhouses in Kwazulu-Natal (Glenwood, Hilton, Westville and Maritzburg College) continue to make a statement that local is lekker in KZN.
The Bulls, of the four SA clubs, have the most extensive recruitment drive, and have over the years consistently been leaders in securing the most sought after talent, be it out of school or at a later stage.
Bloemfontein, by way of Grey College, and Paarl, are greater feeders for the Bulls, who have not relied exclusively on the Schools Big Five. Many a player from local schools has proven good enough to be contracted.
The Stormers will also feel they’ve been true to realism in their recruitment because there are only so many players who can be signed and the core of the country’s elite talent comes out of the Western Cape.
The fact that these players are willing to relocate and are so sought after is what ensures a balance in domestic strength, which is illustrated in this season’s URC SA Shield. With two rounds to play, any one of the four teams could win the Shield. The final SA derby is played at Loftus between the Bulls and Stormers, and the Shield winner could come down to this match.
There could also be a situation where all four teams end on three wins from six.
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BULLS v SHARKS: WIN WITH AFRICA PICKS
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The elite layer is concentrated, with Grey College and Boshaai the most prominent producers of professional players, but the good news story is a reach that extends to another 62 schools.
What it says to me is that if you are good enough you will make it, regardless of the school you attended.
One only has to look at the composition of the back to back World Cup-winning Springboks to have this point reinforced. So many of those gold medal winners did not come through the elite and premier rugby schooling institutions.
The URC’s Origin weekend is a celebration of a player’s roots, and an acknowledgement of where it all started, but it is also a statement of what is good in the schools system in South African rugby.
TOP 10 SCHOOL PRODUCERS OF SA-BASED URC PLAYERS IN 2025/26
1. Grey College 18 players
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Bulls: 8
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Sharks: 4
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Stormers: 4
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Lions: 2
1. Paarl Boys’ High School 18 players
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Lions: 6
-
Sharks: 5
-
Stormers: 4
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Bulls: 3
🎓 @Paarl_Boishaai to @LionsRugbyCo‘s Stalwart: Quan Horn 🪄🇿🇦@Vodacom #URC | #OriginRound pic.twitter.com/fOWgF0ofPQ
Vodacom United Rugby Championship (URC) (@URCOfficial_RSA) February 23, 2026
Behind them:
3. Paul Roos Gymnasium 12
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Stormers: 5
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Sharks: 4
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Bulls: 2
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Lions: 1
That Willemse step? @PaulRoos_Gym origins 👌@Vodacom #URC | #OriginRound pic.twitter.com/kDeSpv12FH
Vodacom United Rugby Championship (URC) (@URCOfficial_RSA) February 24, 2026
Bringing the heat for Origin Round with the Boogieman, Jurenzo Julius! 🔥💪🏉 pic.twitter.com/gljKPGgjDl
The Sharks (@SharksRugby) February 23, 2026
4. Paarl Gimnasium 10
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Bulls: 4
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Stormers: 4
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Sharks: 2
5. Hoërskool Monument 9
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Lions: 7
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Sharks: 2
Those five schools alone account for 67 contracted players across the four South African URC franchises.
That is the spine of the professional game.
Then comes the second tier:
Glenwood High School 8
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Sharks: 4
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Lions: 2
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Bulls: 2
Bishops Diocesan College 8
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Stormers: 6
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Bulls: 1
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Lions: 1
Westville Boys’ High School 5
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Sharks: 3
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Bulls: 1
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Lions: 1
Maritzburg College 5
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Sharks: 3
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Stormers: 2
Afrikaanse Hoër Seunskool (Affies) 4
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Bulls: 1
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Sharks: 1
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Lions: 1
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Stormers: 1
The deeper story is:
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64 schools represented
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37 schools with one player
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11 schools with two players
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The rest clustered at three and above
So what does it tell us?
First, the elite rugby factories still dominate the professional pipeline. Grey and Paarl Boys are not historical brands they are current production leaders. Paarl Boys High, Paul Roos, Paarl Gim, Bishops and Grey College remain structurally embedded in the Stormers and Bulls pathways. Monument underpins the Lions and Glenwood, Westville and Maritzburg sustain the Sharks.
Second, recruitment has shifted. The Bulls are the most nationally constructed squad: eight from Grey, four from Paarl Gim, three from Paarl Boys, two from Paul Roos. Pretoria contracts beyond provincial borders better than any other franchise.
Third, accessibility remains real. Thirty-seven schools have one representative. That is opportunity and shows that the pathway is not closed but very competitive.
What the numbers from Origin weekend confirm is that the factor model works and that the professional door remains open to any player who is good enough.
SA URC ORIGIN – THE SCHOOLS
18 Players
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Grey College
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Paarl Boys’ High
12 Players
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Paul Roos Gymnasium
10 Players
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Paarl Gimnasium
9 Players
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Hoërskool Monument
8 Players
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Glenwood High School
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Bishops (Diocesan College)
5 Players
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Westville Boys’ High School
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Maritzburg College
4 Players
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Afrikaanse Hoër Seunskool (Affies)
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Hilton College
3 Players
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Northcliff High School
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King Edward VII School (KES)
2 Players
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St Albans College
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Hoër Landbouskool Boland
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Hoërskool Garsfontein
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Hoër Landbouskool Oakdale
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Michaelhouse
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Jeppe High School for Boys
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Potchefstroom Gimnasium
1 Player Each
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St Stithians
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Bersig
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Hudson Park
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Linden
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SACS
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Stellenberg
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Transvalia
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Frikkie Meyer
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Fichardtpark
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Graeme College
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Ben Vorster
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EG Jansen
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St Andrew’s College (Makhanda)
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Dale College
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HTS Middelburg
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Durban High School (DHS)
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Hoërskool Klerksdorp
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Hoërskool Tygerberg
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Huguenot High School
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Grey High School
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Jim Mvabaza Senior Secondary
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Piet Retief High School
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Churchill Boys High School
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HTS Louis Botha
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Queens College
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Hoërskool Oos-Moot
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Diamantveld
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Wonderboom
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Outeniqua High School
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Hoërskool Eldoraigne
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Northwood
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St John’s College
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Rondebosch Boys’ High
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Wynberg Boys’ High
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Hoërskool Pietersburg
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Welkom Gimnasium
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Hoërskool Brandwag
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Hermanus High School
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Hoërskool Riebeeckstad
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Klein Nederburg
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Hoërskool Standerton
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Total schools represented: 64
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2 schools with 18 players
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1 school with 12
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1 school with 10
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1 school with 9
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2 schools with 8
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2 schools with 5
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2 schools with 4
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2 schools with 3
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7 schools with 2
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42 schools with 1
International Rugby
Bok Damian de Allende is the best No 12 in the world
Springboks and Wild Knights Damian de Allende continues to set the standards among No 12s in world rugby. He is the best – and has been for some time.
In the Keo & Zels show earlier this week, there was agreement that De Allende remains the standout No 12 in the game.
Keo: Damian de Allende has done it all. Two World Cups. Rugby Championships. Outstanding for Munster in the URC and Investec Champions Cup. A superstar in Japan. A force for the Stormers and Western Province.
Yet when the “best No 12 in the world” debate starts, his name is often an afterthought.
Ireland’s Stu McCloskey has had a strong Six Nations and suddenly some commentators are calling him the benchmark. That’s recency bias. De Allende has been the benchmark for a decade.
He is the glue in the Springbok midfield. When he plays, they are a different side. When he doesn’t, you feel it. Sonny Bill Williams said last season that the most undervalued piece of the South African World Cup puzzle is Damian de Allende. He’s right.
De Allende has strength in contact, a complete passing game and a rugby IQ that the public underrates but coaches don’t. Tony Brown rates him the best passer in the Bok set-up.
The move to Japan extended his career. League One is improving every season, but it’s not the weekly collision of the URC or Top 14. It has preserved him and I believe he has another World Cup in him.
If we’re picking a No 12 tomorrow? I take him. Every time. He is the best No 12 in the world.
ALL BLACKS GREATS RAVE ABOUT DE ALLENDE
Zels:
That’s the difference between media noise and player reality.
In player circles, “Doogz” gets huge respect. It’s the same story as Franco Mostert. At the Lions people asked what he actually did. Then he became a Bok and suddenly everyone understood the work rate and detail.
De Allende does the heavy lifting. He wins collisions. He cleans up. He organises. He makes the right decision more often than not. Players and coaches see it immediately.
In his prime? For me, absolutely – he’s the best 12 in world rugby.
RECALL: HOW RASSIE REINVENTED DE ALLENDE IN 2019
Last weekend he played his 50th match for the Wild Knights in Japan – another reminder of his consistency and professionalism. Whether it was Milnerton High in Cape Town, a World Cup final with the Springboks, Munster on a European night, or League One in Japan, the standard never drops.
ALL BLACKS MIDFIELD MASTER SONNY BILL WILLIAMS GIVES DOOGZ HIS DUES
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International Rugby
URC: Julius stars but the Lions roar loudest at Ellis Park
URC: The Lions, with Morne van den Berg massive, roared the loudest at Ellis Park with an emphatic win against the Sharks, for whom Jurenzo Julius was the best player.
Morne van den Berg was the pick of the Lions and the best player on display in the Lions bonus point win. The Springboks scrum half was at the heart of everything good about the Lions performance, in a Round 8 match that was played between Rounds 11 and 12 of the competition.
The win moves the Lions into seventh place in the URC and it also kept alive the SA Shield. Had the Sharks won, they would have claimed the Shield, given they already had three bonus-point wins in four matches against their South African colleagues.
The Sharks have beaten the Bulls and the Stormers twice and lost in the final play against the Lions in Durban a month ago.
But it is the Lions who now can claim the Shield if they beat the Stormers at Ellis Park next Saturday.
The Sharks will play the Bulls at Loftus in Pretoria next week and the Stormers and Bulls will complete the South African derbies within the URC in Pretoria on the 14th March.
The Lions coach Ivan van Rooyen picked his strongest match 23 and they were too powerful and precise for a Sharks match 23 missing seven of their first choice Springboks. Sharks coach JP Pietersen invested in youth and some hardened veterans, but the collective of the Sharks could not match the individual class of 21 year-old centre Jurenzo Julius, who ran with condition and with reward, scored a try, had one disallowed and always made metres in the tackle.
JULIUS IN BOKS MIDFIELD AUDITION
Veteran lock Jason Jenkins battled hard, but that was the lot for the visitors who are ninth in the URC league standings. They have four wins in 11 matches.
Van den Berg was the general at No 9, his halfback partner Chris Smith did not miss a kick at posts and the Lions midfield of Bronson Mills and Henco Van Wyk were convincing as a pairing.
Wingers Angelo Davids and Kelly Mpeku chased everything and turned every kick into an attacking one.
Lions fullback Quan Horn was confident and flanker Ruan Venter, lock Ettienne Oosthuizen were a menace and a presence. My personal favourite Asenathi Ntlabakanye produced trademark tackles, handled the tighthead side of the scrum effectively and was regular in taking the ball to the line.
Van den Berg was very good and the Lions were very good in responding from the 52-17 defeat a fortnight ago against the Bulls at Ellis Park.
The Lions have beaten the Sharks in the last three matches at Ellis Park in the URC, each time comfortably, and have won five of the last six matches against the Sharks.
UNITED RUGBY CHAMPIONSHIP LATEST – WATCH THE LIONS v SHARKS HIGHLIGHTS
International Rugby
Ireland find their identity & Scotland find a way to win away from home
Ireland are celebrated for finding their identity in a record 42-21 win against England at the Allianz Stadium in Twickenham and Scotland are lauded for finding a way to win a Six Nations match away from home. Here’s your media summary.
What the English media led with
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England’s recurring fast-start problem became the story again – an opening half-hour where Ireland went 22-0 up and effectively ended the contest.
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The post-match tone is brutal: “humiliation”, “nightmare”, “questions everywhere” around England’s direction, selection calls, and a side that’s messy under pressure (turnovers, set-piece errors, poor exits).
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Even where England “had entries”, the message is the same: they didn’t convert pressure into points, and Ireland did – clinically.
What the Irish media led with
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A statement win built on speed, accuracy and edge – Ireland’s first-half blitz, then second-half control (Sheehan’s early score after the break = the hammer).
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The Irish framing is “old guard / leaders / selection calls justified” – Crowley steering, Gibson-Park snapping, McCloskey giving them gainline ballast.
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Farrell’s tone in reaction coverage: values + connection + belief (less “tactics board”, more “identity restored”).
Former players / influential voices (social + pundit loop)
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Dan Sheehan (via ITV quote carried by SA Rugby Mag): framed it as hunger + belief + emotional lift after the France loss – and called it one of their best performances.
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The wider pundit theme (echoed across liveblogs + post-match reaction): Ireland’s dominance wasn’t fluke finishing – it was system + tempo + accuracy, with England chasing shadows and confidence.
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“I backed England” regret content is already circulating (ex-player prediction culture) with former England fullback Mike Brown getting stick in UK rugby-content spaces after calling it wrong. He is just one of many. Andy Goode called for a rethink of Steve Borthwick as head coach and challenged Borthwick for a rethink of his selections.
South African view (SA Rugby Mag)
Two clean angles SA Rugby Mag are pushing:
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Mocke the notion that three weeks ago England were favourites to win the World Cup, according to their media, and now they have been destroyed, away to Scotland and at home to Ireland on successive weekends.
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Player-reaction line: Sheehan’s “special” framing – Ireland tapped into travelling support and came out of the blocks.
What Six Nations official platform says …
The official match report leans hard into:
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Frenetic start, Crowley penalty, then Gibson-Park’s quick-tap try as the tone-setter.
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The decisive rhythm: England scratched (Dingwall / Lawrence / Underhill), but Ireland had answers (Sheehan + Osborne) and controlled the contest after going 22-0 up.
KEO’S VIEW
I had England to win 30-21 based on Ireland’s lack of form in November against the All Blacks and the Springboks, and their defeat against France in Paris, coupled with their escape at home against Italy a week ago. What I overestimated was the quality of the England team to respond to last weekend’s drubbing against Scotland at Murrayfield. I also thought England would lift for captain Maro Itoje’s 100th Test for England. I underestimated that Ireland would find their identity or play in a way that speaks to the identity that made them a top two side and momentarily had them ranked one in the world. The visitors were superb. This is the first time they have beaten England by more than 20 points. I thought they were as inspiring as England were inept.
EVERY PLAYER AND TEAM STAT AFTER ROUND 3 OF THE SIX NATIONS
WALES v SCOTLAND – Wales improved, Scotland escaped
Result: Wales 23 Scotland 26 (Turner try + Russell conversion in the 75th minute).
Scottish media tone (and Scotland lens generally)
-
The Scotland lens is “not pretty, but champion teams steal these” – resilience, finish, Russell influence, and bench impact (Turner delivering the match winner).
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Scotland’s broader narrative: they’re alive in the championship picture (table pressure) because they can now win away, even when off their game.
Welsh media tone (and Wales lens generally)
-
The Wales lens is heartbreak with a sliver of hope: this was their best showing of the championship so far, but they still found a way to lose it late (errors, discipline, closing moments).
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The hard number that will sit in every Welsh recap: 14 straight Six Nations losses (and counting).
Former players / influential voices (social + pundit loop)
-
The Guardian’s live coverage explicitly notes former Welsh captain Sam Warburton praising Wales’ belief/performance despite the late gut-punch.
South African view (SA Rugby Mag)
-
Scotland “snatch” it from a “passionate Wales” – which tells you the editorial emphasis is Wales’ emotional performance and Scotland’s late ruthlessness.
What Six Nations official platform says …
The official report makes it very usable for your structure:
-
Wales deserved the first-half lead: Carre + Adams tries, Costelow kicking, and a genuine edge in the arm-wrestle.
-
The swing: Scotland’s second-half surge, and Wales being denied their first win again a “remarkable comeback” headline win for Scotland.
KEO’S VIEW
The question is what hurts most for the hapless Welsh supporters; to concede 50 points each time at home or to be five minutes away from winning and then to lose by a late converted try after leading 20-5 early in the second half? Scotland showed composure in the final 10 minutes and Wales, so desperate and filled with desire, had nothing left in the tank once Scotland took the lead 26-23. For a neutral it was a bloody good Test, filled with every drama.
KEO News Wire
Ellis Park is a Springboks audition for Julius and Van Wyk
Jurenzo Julius and Henco van Wyk were colossal midfielders as schoolboys. Now they get the chance to make a statement to Springboks coach Rassie Erasmus that they should be on the national radar, if not for 2027, then definitely for the 2031 World Cup in the USA.
The Lions host the Sharks in the URC at Ellis Park on Saturday, and it is the performances of Julius, for the Sharks, and Van Wyk, for the Lions, that excites me the most in this match.
Julius, many forget, is still just 21 years-old. Equally is Van Wyk’s youthfulness at 24. The latter seems to have been around for a decade.
Both have carried the tag for best of in their class, with Van Wyk the Junior Springbok of the Year in 2021 and Julius the Junior Springbok of the Year in 2024.
Erasmus has never selected on sentiment and he has always been consistent that he differentiates between who is considered the best in a particular position and who is the best for his national squad.
He rates Julius and Van Wyk, having invited them to national alignment camps and picked Van Wyk for the senior SA XV that toured the north a few seasons ago.
Both players fit the mould of what Erasmus wants in a player. They have physical presence, skill and an engine.
Julius was so good when playing for Paul Roos in Stellenbosch, and equally imposing for SA under 18s and SA under 20s. Van Wyk, a few years before that, enjoyed as many accolades as the premier South African junior midfielder.
Van Wyk’s biggest challenge has not been that of selection at the Lions, but being consistently fit and available, whereas Julius walked into a Sharks set-up of Springbok midfielders in Lukhanyo Am, Francois Venter and current captain Andre Esterhuizen.
Ethan Hooker, who was used at centre and on the wing, played Test rugby for the Springboks in 2025 as a winger, but Sharks coach JP Pietersen has paired him with Esterhuizen in the past month. AM has left for Japan and Venter, alongside Julius on Saturday, has a greater mentoring role.
The beauty of Julius is that each time he has been given an opportunity, he has delivered. Van Wyk has shown the same pedigree when injury has not derailed his season.
Julius can play 12 and 13 and would not be out of place on the wing, and Van Wyk’s skillset makes him an option at 12 and 13.
SHARKS SCHOOL STORMERS IN THE URC
Van Wyk, at Monument High and with the Golden Lions Craven Week side, was exceptional at age group level. His transition into junior international rugby and senior rugby was as smooth, until injuries rocked him. From 2022 to 2024, injuries were more damaging than any opponent.
Photo: Christiaan Kotze/Gallo Images
What he is showing this season is the result of uninterrupted rugby. He is sharp, his confidence is obvious and he is the primary point of attack in a talented Lions backline.
South African rugby produces outstanding schoolboy midfielders every year, and the latest is Paarl Gim’s Markus Muller, who is part of the Stormers squad and is currently on national duty with the SA under 20s.
Julius and Van Wyk will be mindful of the hype around Muller and they will be keen to remind him and another 2025 schools graduate, Grey College and Free State’s Ethan Adams, that there is a senior midfield queue and that the class of 2019 and 2024 are on the rise.
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Recent head-to-head (URC meetings)
-
Jan 2026: Sharks 22–23 Lions (Durban)
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Mar 2025: Sharks 14–38 Lions (Johannesburg)
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Mar 2025: Sharks 22–25 Lions (Durban)
-
2024: Lions 40–10 Sharks (Johannesburg)
-
2024: Sharks 20–18 Lions (Durban)
Recent encounters show a clear home-field bias in Johannesburg, with the Lions winning comfortably there and edging the most recent contest in Durban.
LIONS v SHARKS: ALL THE TEAM NEWS
SATURDAY FEBRUARY 21
Lions v Hollywoodbets Sharks
Ellis Park, Johannesburg – KO 12.00 IRE & UK / 13.00 ITA / 14.00 SA
Referee: Griffin Colby (SARU, 12th league game)
AR 1: Aimee Barrett-Theron (SARU) AR 2: Zoe Naude (SARU)
TMO: Quinton Immelman (SARU)
Live on: SuperSport, Premier Sports, Flo Rugby & URC.tv
International Rugby
Round 3 of Six Nations: Everything you need to know
Teams, kick-off times, data, match-ups. Look no further. We have everything you need to know for Round 3 of the Six Nations as France plays Italy, Wales host Scotland and England take on Ireland.
The big talking point this weekend will be the flamboyant England loose-forward Henry Pollock’s first start at No 8.
AFRICA PICKS: WHERE TO MAKE YOUR SIX NATIONS MONEY THIS WEEKEND
WHO’S RUNNING THE HOTTEST IN SIX NATIONS
Six Nations Round 3: Pollock’s Call, Ireland’s Test, Scotland’s Edge, France’s Warning
The headline is at Allianz Stadium. Henry Pollock gets his first start at No 8 for England against Ireland. It is refreshing from England coach Steve Borthwick and it changes the shape of England’s loose trio. Pollock joins Tom Curry and Ben Earl in a back row built for tempo and confrontation.
ENGLAND v IRELAND
Kick-off: 18:00 (UK), Saturday 21 February
Venue: Allianz Stadium
England
Steward; Freeman, Lawrence, Dingwall, Arundell; Ford, Mitchell; Genge, Cowan-Dickie, Heyes, Itoje (capt), Chessum, T Curry, Earl, Pollock.
Replacements: George, Rodd, Davison, Coles, Pepper, Underhill, Van Poortvliet, M Smith.
Ireland
Osborne; Baloucoune, Ringrose, McCloskey, Lowe; Crowley, Gibson-Park; Loughman, Sheehan, Furlong, Ryan, McCarthy, Beirne, Van der Flier, Doris (capt).
Replacements: Kelleher, O’Toole, Bealham, Conan, Timoney, Casey, Frawley, O’Brien.
England’s 12-match winning run ended at Murrayfield, but at home they remain reliable. Their last defeat in London came in November 2024. Since then, nine straight wins. That matters.
Ireland, though, have owned this fixture recently. Five wins from the last six. The only loss in that stretch was a last-minute drop goal in this stadium two years ago.
Andy Farrell reshapes his spine. Jack Crowley starts at fly-half for control. Tadhg Furlong returns to strengthen the scrum. Beirne, Van der Flier and Gibson-Park are back. Ireland are leaning into experience because England at Twickenham demands it.
Recent results:
2025 (Dublin): Ireland 27–22 England
2024 (London): England 23–22 Ireland
2023 (Dublin): Ireland 29–16 England
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WALES v SCOTLAND
Kick-off: 16:40 (UK), Saturday 21 February
Venue: Principality Stadium
Wales
Rees-Zammit; Hamer-Webb, James, Hawkins, Adams; Costelow, T Williams; Carre, Lake (capt), Francis, Jenkins, Carter, Plumtree, Mann, Wainwright.
Replacements: Elias, Smith, Griffin, F Thomas, Botham, Hardy, J Evans, Murray.
Scotland
Kinghorn; Steyn, Jones, Tuipulotu (capt), Van der Merwe; Russell, White; McBeth, Cherry, Z Fagerson, Williamson, Cummings, Brown, Darge, M Fagerson.
Replacements: Cherry, Schoeman, Millar-Mills, Williamson, M Fagerson, Horne, Hastings, Graham.
Wales are 0-from-2 and hurting. Scotland arrive confident after reclaiming the Calcutta Cup against England. Momentum says Scotland, recent history in this clash and Wales’s woeful two wins in their last 25 Tests, says it has to be Scotland.
Welsh coach Steve Tandy has made changes. Sam Costelow takes over at 10. Taine Plumtree strengthens the back row and Ben Carter’s form earns him reward. Blair Murray offers bench spark. Scotland have recalled power winger Duhan van der Merwe and Toulouse fullback Blair Kinghorn.
Recent results:
2025 (Edinburgh): Scotland 35–29 Wales
2024 (Cardiff): Wales 26–27 Scotland
2023 (Edinburgh): Scotland 35–7 Wales
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FRANCE v ITALY
Kick-off: 15:10 (UK), Sunday 15 February
Venue: Stade Pierre Mauroy
Italy left Dublin believing they are good enough to beat the very best, but still vulnerable in the big clutch plays. They pushed Ireland and were frustrated not to get the job done. The problem now is scale. France have opened this championship with authority and pace.
Last year in Rome, France dismantled Italy, but the more relevant match is the 13-all draw in Lille in 2024. Paolo Garbisi hit the post from a penalty attempt with the last kick of the match. It would have been Italy’s first win against France in France.
Italy’s backline is ambitious and their pack is no longer passive, but France, in the 2025 Six Nations and in the opening fortnight of 2026, have set the standard.
Recent results:
2025 (Rome): Italy 24–73 France
2024 (Marseille): France 13–13 Italy
2023 (Rome): Italy 24–29 France
If you want a snapshot of the weekend’s matches, England have entrusted youth in the name of Pollock, Ireland have opted for experience and the old guard, Wales, well they continue to search for relevance, and Scotland want consistency. Italy have belief but they are up against the best team in the competition who are playing with the authority of a champion.
International Rugby
Who’s running the hottest in the Six Nations
France have dominated the first fortnight of the Six Nations and they will continue the dream start to the 2026 tournament when hosting the improving Italy. Individually, the French players are also making the biggest statistical statements.
The French backs Louis Bielle-Biarrey, Theo Attissogbe and Matthee Jalibert are the most prominent in attack, with the two wingers three tries each second only to England winger Henry Arundell’s four.
No 10 Jalibert has scored two tries and made 32 carries, three more than his halfback partner Antoine Dupont, and four less than fullback Thomas Ramos’s 36. England’s No 8 Ben Earl has made the most carries (41).
Ramos, Bielle-Biarrey, Jalibert and Attissogbe are placed second to fifth in metres made, with Wales’s Louis Rees-Zammit topping the list with 238.
Jalibert, who was sensational for Bordeaux in the Investec Champions Cup Pool rounds, has been as good for France in the Six Nations.
No player has such a presence in so many facets of play.
Jalibert (10), Ramos (8) and Dupont (5) have made the most offloads, and Jalibert’s four try assists is the most.
Jalibert (10), along with Rees-Zammit, England’s Tommy Freeman and Scotland’s South African-born winger Kyle Steyn, has beaten the most defenders.
Jalibert (21) and Dupont (29) have combined for 50 kicks in play. England flyhalf George Ford leads the list with 34. Ford’s kick metres are the most, 1245, while Dupont (third with 827 metres) and Jalibert (sixth with 610 metres) total 1437 metres.
Jalibert (7) and Dupont (6), as a halfback duo, have no equal in the competition, combining for 13 kicks retained. Scotland’s Ben White, individually, is the leader with 10.
Jalibert (13) has bounced the most kicks, with Ford (11) in second place and Dupont third with 10.
Lineout steals have been minimal and Italy’s Manuel Zuliani and Michele Lamaro are the best with two each.
Defensively, Wales’s Aaron Wainwright (9) and Freeman (9) lead the dominant contact, with France’s Charles Ollivon and Earl (7) the next best.
Wainwright, with this dominance in contact, has the most post contact metres (55), followed by Freeman and Earl with 53 each.
The French attack has been on fire but defensively the French have been as good. Lenni Noguchi and Oscar Jegou, along with Italy’s Manuel Zuliani and Lorenzo Cannone and Steyn are grouped at the top with four each in the dominant tackle category.
(Lorenzo) Cannone, with 37, has the most successful tackles. Niccolo Cannone has 35 and Jegou 34.
Scotland’s Rory Darge (6) has won the most turnovers, with Zuliani second (5) and France’s Michael Guillard and Ireland’s Stuart McCloskey on four each. Winger Attissogbe has won three turnovers.
Wingers understandably dominate the attacking catch success with Ireland’s James Lowe, Arundell, Italy’s Louis Lynagh and Bielle-Biarrey all successful with two catches.
Ramos and Ford have scored the most points and they are the two most accurate sharpshooters, with Ramos tops with 85.7 percent and Ford striking at 81.8 percent.
EVERY PLAYER AND TEAM STAT FROM THE 2026 SIX NATIONS
International Rugby
France on fire as rugby’s media react to Six Nations
France are on fire, dispatching Wales with ease in Cardiff in Round 2 of the Six Nations. Scotland were the Brave and Ireland were the fortunate in Dublin. But on the evidence of two Rounds the world champions and No 1 ranked Springboks are still some way ahead of the chasing pack, which is more France than anyone else.
For those who don’t have time to scan every rugby site for Six Nations reaction, here is your summary, with the scanning brilliance of Chat and my own wrap and understanding of what unfolded.
AFRICA PICKS: DID YOU CASH IN ON YOUR SIX NATIONS BETS?
WALES v FRANCE (Cardiff) Reaction: “France are ruthless; Wales are broken”
Result context: France ran in 8 tries and hammered Wales 54–12 in Cardiff.
Six Nations official tone: “record-breaking” French performance; clinical, fast, and brutal.
The Northern Hemisphere themes (what the NH media agreed on)
1) France’s attack is now operating at “Grand Slam pace.”
The common thread: France didn’t just win – they stacked pressure, scored early, and never came down. Their execution looked title-ready, not “round-two ready.”
2) Jalibert ran the game; the French back three feasted.
Reuters singled out Matthieu Jalibert as “masterful”, with France’s shape and kicking hurting Wales repeatedly.
The Guardian focus: wings/finishers cashing in, with Théo Attissogbe front-and-centre.
3) Wales’ defensive system was the story and not in a good way.
Wales missed 31 tackles, with a 68% tackle success figure doing the rounds.
It also wasn’t lost on anyone that the crowd mood and attendance reflected a nation’s frustration.
-
Six Nations official: framed France as the tournament’s most clinical force; “run riot / record-breaking” framing.
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Reuters: Jalibert masterclass; Wales defensive collapse; low attendance noted.
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The Guardian: Attissogbe-led romp; France’s young backs looked fearless; Wales outclassed.
South African view (SA Rugby Mag / SA angle)
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SA Rugby Mag (digital): blunt headline energy – “Rampant France rout woeful Wales” and the key SA takeaway: France are the only side still tracking a Grand Slam after two rounds.
-
Times Live: explicitly positioned this French run as a Springbok warning shot, tying it to SA’s own demolition job in Cardiff last November.
SCOTLAND v ENGLAND (Murrayfield) Reaction: “Scotland ambushed them; England had no Plan B”
Result context: Scotland beat England 31–20 and lifted the Calcutta Cup, ending England’s long winning run.
The Northern Hemisphere themes
1) Scotland’s start won it (and England never truly recovered).
Reuters captured it cleanly: Scotland sprinted into an early lead and played with belief; England spent the match chasing field position and control.
2) Finn Russell ran the show.
Across reports: Russell was the conductor control when needed, ambition when it was on.
3) Discipline (and Arundell) became England’s headline.
The red-card narrative dominated English-facing reaction, especially tabloid coverage.
4) “Plan A stalled” became the RugbyPass verdict.
RugbyPass pushed the familiar critique: England look blunt when their first pattern doesn’t land.
-
The Guardian: Scotland “stunned” England; big tries, big moments, and England’s errors/discipline issues.
-
Reuters: Scotland’s recent Calcutta Cup dominance underlined; Russell masterclass; Arundell card pivotal.
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The Sun: framed it as Arundell “hero-to-zero”, Grand Slam hopes crushed on the Murrayfield hoodoo.
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Sky Sports: breakdown angle on why England unravelled (discipline, start, game control).
South African view (SA Rugby Mag)
-
SA Rugby Mag: “Storming Scotland end England’s winning run” straightforward: England’s streak snapped; Scotland revived their campaign; Townsend milestone context.
-
SA Rugby Mag follow-up: quotes/angle pieces include Borthwick acknowledging England “gave them too big a start.”
IRELAND v ITALY (Dublin) Reaction: “Italy proved they belong; Ireland survived”
Result context: Ireland won 20–13, but the reaction was far more about Ireland’s wobble and Italy’s growth than Irish dominance.
The Northern Hemisphere themes
1) Ireland were “unconvincing” Italy dragged them into a scrap.
That “Ireland survived” framing is consistent across live reports and match wrap language.
2) Italy’s first-half performance made the story.
Italy led at the break; a maul try and defensive bite put Ireland under heat.
3) The Italian press angle: pride + frustration (and ‘it was there’).
Italian coverage leaned into: “great Italy for a half”, match flipped after the break, and the missed chance to land a historic result.
Outlet-by-outlet snapshot (Ireland + Italy)
-
Irish Times: Italy led 10–5 at half-time; Ireland turned it with second-half tries (Conan/Baloucoune) to regain control.
-
The Independent (UK): headline framing: “Unconvincing Ireland overcome half-time deficit” again, the win without the glow.
-
Gazzetta dello Sport (Italy): strong Italy for a half; Ireland “trembled” but won; the swing came after the break.
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RAI News (Italy): second half “capsized” what looked like an Italian day; Italy started “azzurro” but Ireland flipped it.
-
Federazione Italiana Rugby (FIR): official Italian union tone: “grandissima Italia” that scared Ireland; positives to take even in defeat.
-
OnRugby (Italy): positioned it as the “almost” moment and a national conversation piece (reaction roundup).
FOR ALL THE LATEST PLAYER AND TEAM STATS FROM ROUND 2 OF THE SIX NATIONS
-
2026 Six Nations fixtures:
https://www.keo.co.za/2026-six-nations-fixtures-confirmed-france-to-open-blockbuster-campaign-on-a-thursday/ -
France v Ireland analysis:
https://www.keo.co.za/how-transformed-france-tortured-inept-ireland-in-paris/ -
Previous British media reaction piece:
https://www.keo.co.za/england-hammer-wales-as-british-media-deliver-brutal-six-nations-verdict/
International Rugby
Super Rugby Pacific: South African rugby is bigger without you
A message to Super Rugby Pacific. South Africa doesn’t want back into your competition. Not now. Not ever.
Super Rugby Pacific CEO Jack Mesley, speaking to Martin Devlin on DSPN, dismissed the idea of South African teams ever returning.
Pressed directly, he said:
“No.”
Asked why he would not welcome South Africa back into the competition, Mesley replied:
“If you go back and look at the data, those games did not rate well. They did not attend well. They did not rate like we’re rating now. They did not attend like we are attending now.”
He added:
“I think there is a romance associated with the South African days.”
Devlin joked:
“It always is about the girlfriend who leaves, mate.”
Mesley laughed and concluded:
“Even a South African one.”
Romance?
Let’s deal in reality.
The Springboks have thrived post Super Rugby’s exit.
Since South Africa shifted north post-Covid and into the United Rugby Championship and Investec Champions Cup, the Springboks have become the dominant force in world rugby.
- Two Rugby World Cups in 2019 and 2023.
- Back-to-back Rugby Championship titles in 2024 and 2025.
- Five wins in their last six Tests against the All Blacks.
- A record 43-10 demolition in Wellington.
- A 35-7 humiliation at Twickenham.
This is more a measurable dominance than it is a sentimental nostalgia.
South African clubs now play in a weekly high-intensity cross-hemisphere competition against Ireland’s provinces, French heavyweights and English power clubs. They play against Welsh, Scottish and Italian teams. The URC and Champions Cup demand travel, adaptability, and confrontation with contrasting styles.
It has hardened South African players tactically and physically.
They are preparing for Test rugby and World Cups. This is not the exhibition of Bledisloe or the basketball of Super Rugby Pacific.
The All Blacks have regressed since South Africa left Super Rugby
New Zealand’s post-Covid Test record tells a different story.
For the first time in the professional era, the All Blacks have looked physically vulnerable. They have been bullied at the collision and they have lost multiple home Tests. They have been beaten consistently by the Springboks.
The annual three-week Super Rugby tours to South Africa once conditioned New Zealand franchises for brutality. Playing the Bulls at Loftus, the Stormers in Cape Town, the Sharks in Durban, and making trips to Bloemfontein and Ellis Park were a weekend physical audit.
That audit no longer exists.
Super Rugby Pacific is now largely an internal New Zealand competition with Australian and Pacific participation. The physical edge that South African teams brought has disappeared.
Eddie Jones, speaking to Devlin, bluntly addressed the decline.
“That’s the other thing that’s changed for New Zealand Rugby; Super Rugby was the greatest influence on world rugby for a long period of time. Whatever happened in Super Rugby basically set the trend for the game.”
He continued:
“Unfortunately, Super Rugby has dropped in terms of status. We all know South Africa has left, and now it’s a competition that doesn’t have as much influence around the world.”
What Jones is articulating is the structural erosion of the competition. Super Rugby, in its original Super 12 guise, had no equal in world rugby’s club environment. Super Rugby Pacific is now an afterthought to competitions like the Investec Champions Cup, the URC, the English Prem and France’s Top 14.
Super Rugby Pacific produces strong local derbies and healthy domestic numbers, but globally, its relevance has shrunk.
The winner is almost invariably a New Zealand side, the style is about attack and little regard for the nuances of Test rugby, especially World Cup rugby, and the buzz word is entertainment, ball in play and no respect for the pressure moments that define World Cup titles.
Test rugby is not exhibition rugby.
When confronted by the Springboks’ power game or France and England’s pack-driven precision, the All Blacks have looked less conditioned for the grind.
South Africa, meanwhile, are conditioned weekly in Europe and then sharpened further in the Rugby Championship.
The Arrogance
New Zealand Rugby previously dismissed South Africa’s contribution to Super Rugby. The outgoing CEO Mark Robinson made clear that the competition would move on without South Africa before even formally informing SA Rugby leadership.
Robinson, an average All Black, has been even more mediocre as NZ Rugby CEO. His reward for cocking it up was to get a job from his Aussie mate (World Rugby Chair) and namesake Brett Robinson, as the Chief of Rugby.
Chief of Rugby? What the Chair means is a portfolio created before appointing Robinson as the CEO of World Rugby.
It is messy, but not as messy as the illusion that Super Rugby Pacific has a global appeal.
SUPER RUGBY PACIFIC CEO MESLEY MOCKS SA RUGBY
Mesley speaks of romance and laughs at the idea of a South African return. Look, he is an Aussie, so that explains a few things.
But to believe he knows rugby is a stretch, despite the purple prose on his appointment.
Super Rugby Pacific Chair Kevin Malloy said Mesley’s strong marketing background and practical skillset made him ideally suited to the Super Rugby Pacific CEO role.
“What set Jack apart from a strong pool of candidates following a thorough search was his passion for rugby, his enthusiasm and a breadth of experience in both marketing and sports,” Malloy said.
OK, if you want to believe that Kev!
These are strange times in New Zealand rugby.
An ex-All Black in Robinson rejuvenated the Springboks in kicking South Africa out of Super Rugby and an Aussie marketer has added to New Zealand’s misery with his promotion of an insular Pacific competition.
The irony in the Republic is that South Africa still respects New Zealand. It is the Test South Africans always want to experience.
The Greatest Rivalry Tour later this year is sold out, within hours of tickets going on sale.
The All Blacks remain rugby’s most recognisable brand in South Africa, and there is no smugness in the Republic when South African rugby people speak of NZ Rugby or the All Blacks. There is only respect and a varying degree of adulation.
Mesley speaks with a smirk about South African romance in Super Rugby, but the South African game has grown stronger on every front since moving north and New Zealand rugby has grown smaller without South Africa.
There is a word in South Africa for dismissive arrogance dressed up as data. There is a word for Mesley.
It starts with a P … and it isn’t Pacific.
International Rugby
England hammer Wales as British media deliver brutal Six Nations verdict
England didn’t just hammer Wales 48-7 at the Allianz Stadium in Twickenham; they reminded the visitors that they will only be good for the wooden spoon in the 2026 Six Nations.
The contest was over before kick-off but confirmed as officially over before the 20th minute when Wales trailed 10-0 and were reduced to 13 players. That score doubled to 22-0 before the 30th minute and it could have been even more damning but for England’s inaccuracy and many poor decisions when playing 15 versus 13.
The British media were ruthless in their assessment of England’s demolition of the Welsh, with the flameless Dragons offering no resistance. Their discipline collapsed, belief vanished, and England didn’t need to be spectacular to be savage.
Henry Arundell scored a hat-trick and No 10 George Ford was voted Player of the Match. Wales’ catastrophic discipline, turned a historic rivalry into a one-sided examination.
Across the UK press, the only argument was about how deep Wales’ problems run.
Planet Rugby
Planet Rugby framed the match as an England statement, focusing on clarity of attack and ruthless punishment of Welsh indiscipline. Their assessment was that England didn’t chase miracles – they simply played what was in front of them and dismantled a side repeatedly reduced by yellow cards.
🔗 https://www.planetrugby.com
RugbyPass
RugbyPass led with England “running riot”, highlighting Arundell’s finishing and Ford’s authority at No 10. The tone was decisive: Wales lost control early and never recovered, leaving England to dictate tempo, territory and scoreboard.
🔗 https://www.rugbypass.com/news/england-stars-run-riot-as-wales-dismantled-in-six-nations-opener/
BBC Sport
BBC Sport focused on England’s composure, stressing how quickly the contest slipped away once Wales started collecting yellow cards. England were praised for discipline and patience – doing nothing spectacular, but everything right.
🔗 https://www.bbc.com/sport/rugby-union
The Guardian
The Guardian called it a resounding win, pointing out England left points on the field while Wales self-destructed. Their report linked the performance to wider Welsh instability, suggesting the problems extend well beyond 80 minutes.
🔗 https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2026/feb/07/england-wales-six-nations-match-report
Rugby365
Rugby365’s reaction was blunt and familiar: ill-discipline killed Wales, England simply obliged. The outcome was decided early, repeated penalties and cards ensuring no route back.
🔗 https://rugby365.com
SA Rugby Magazine
SA Rugby Mag viewed the result through a global lens – England rising, Wales regressing. Less about the score, more about trajectory, with England building momentum in winning for a 12th successive match, and Wales stuck in survival mode.
🔗 https://www.sarugbymag.co.za
Welsh response
Welsh media reaction were more sombre than angry. Discipline, fragility and a lack of physical authority were recurring themes. The concern is no longer about losing to England; it’s about how easily Wales are folding under pressure.
*Italy beat Scotland 18-15 in Saturday’s early game.
HOW THE MEDIA RATED FRANCE BEATING IRELAND 36-14
ALL THE PLAYER AND TEAM STATS FROM ROUND 1 MATCH CENTRE OF THE 2026 SIX NATIONS
International Rugby
How transformed France tortured inept Ireland in Paris
France changed players, approach and tactics to torture Ireland 36-14 in Paris in the Six Nations. We look at the difference between 2026 win and the 2025 win by France against Ireland in Dublin.
Ireland 27 France 42
Six Nations 2026 – Paris
France 36 Ireland 14
Here’s what France did differently.
1) 2026: France dominated the match. 2025: France stole it with efficiency.
Dublin 2025: Ireland had 58% possession and 53% territory, and France still won by 15. France were happy to defend for long stretches (they made 187 tackles) and then punish Ireland when the game fractured.
Paris 2026: France flipped that script. They had 55% possession and 59% territory and played the game mostly in Ireland’s half. That’s not “clinical counterpunching”. That’s control.
The tell: France ran for 588 metres in 2026 vs Ireland’s 385. In 2025 it was basically even (474 vs 477). France went from “equal metres, better strike-rate” to “more ball, more territory, more metres, more everything.”
2) 2026: France carved Ireland open. 2025: France finished better than Ireland.
Clean breaks
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2025: France 7 clean breaks, Ireland 5 (tight margin).
-
2026: France 19 clean breaks, Ireland 5 (a gulf).
That’s the difference between a game you win and a team you hurt.
3) 2026: France’s pressure forced Irish errors at scale.
Ireland’s “handling under heat” fell apart in Paris:
-
2026 turnover knock-ons: Ireland 11, France 6
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2025 turnover knock-ons: Ireland 7, France 3
France didn’t just wait for mistakes in 2026. They manufactured them with territory, line-speed, and contestable moments.
4) 2026: Ireland couldn’t tackle France. In 2025 they couldn’t stop France finishing.
-
2025 missed tackles: Ireland 23 (France 16)
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2026 missed tackles: Ireland 42 (France 21)
That’s not “a few soft shoulders”. That’s structural stress: repeated breaks, repeated reloads, repeated one-on-ones lost.
5) 2026: France won the first hour. 2025: France won the key moments (and the second-half surge).
In Paris, Ireland were 29–0 down before they got going. France had already cashed the bonus point and then eased.
In Dublin, France’s big statement was the second-half blitz, after losing Antoine Dupont early (he went off around the half-hour and later it was confirmed as a cruciate injury).
So:
-
2025: a win built on resilience + clinical finishing after disruption.
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2026: a win built on front-foot brutality + sustained dominance.
6) The halfback axis changed – and so did the type of threat.
In 2026, with Ntamack out, Jalibert started and had a direct hand in multiple tries, while Dupont called their connection “very positive.”
That matters tactically: Jalibert tends to play flatter and more visibly, and France’s attack in 2026 looked like a team choosing to rip you open in-phase, not just punish you when you overplay.
The simplest summary
Dublin 2025: France were ruthless in chaos – even while defending for long spells.
Paris 2026: France were ruthless in control – more territory, more breaks, more metres, and Ireland cracked.
This is where the regression is most obvious – and most damaging.
1) Physical dominance at the contact point
Ireland’s biggest slide is brutally simple: they are no longer winning collisions consistently.
Against France in Paris, Ireland were regularly knocked backwards in contact, which killed their ability to play fast, accurate phase rugby. Once that happens, everything else collapses – tempo, shape, decision-making.
A season earlier in Dublin, Ireland could still absorb France’s power and recycle quickly. In 2026, France dictated the gainline on both sides of the ball and Ireland were playing from behind bodies instead of on top of them.
This is the clearest regression because Ireland’s entire system is built on fast ruck ball. Take that away and the system has no oxygen.
2) Defensive resilience under sustained pressure
Ireland used to bend without breaking. They now bend, fracture, and then leak tries.
The missed-tackle spike in Paris wasn’t about effort – it was about:
-
repeated reloads
-
fatigued edge defenders
-
centres and back-three players making late, reactive reads
In Dublin 2025, Ireland could survive France’s big moments and reset. In Paris 2026, once France scored early, Ireland never regained defensive authority. The scoreline at halftime wasn’t a fluke it was the logical outcome of structural stress.
3) Attacking clarity without Johnny Sexton
This is not about nostalgia – it’s about control.
Ireland have regressed in:
-
in-game management
-
territory selection
-
when to slow down a match
In Paris, Ireland chased the game far too early, forcing passes under pressure instead of building pressure. Sexton’s absence isn’t about individual brilliance – it’s about knowing when not to play.
Ireland still have quality decision-makers, but they don’t yet have a single, dominant conductor who can steady the ship when momentum is gone.
4) Backline punch against elite defences
Ireland’s backs no longer frighten top-tier defences the way they did in 2022–2024.
Against France:
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line breaks were rare
-
defenders were not fixed
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edge space was never clean
France could defend honestly and aggressively, without having to overfold or gamble. That is a massive red flag.
A year ago, Ireland could create indecision. In Paris, France defended with certainty.
5) Psychological authority
This is subtle – but it matters.
Ireland used to walk onto the field believing they could impose themselves on anyone. In Paris, once France landed early blows, Ireland looked like a team hoping the storm would pass rather than one capable of changing the weather.
The best Ireland sides of recent years could absorb momentum swings and reassert control. This version struggled to do either.
The uncomfortable truth
Ireland haven’t fallen off a cliff – but they have slipped off a plateau.
They are no longer physically dominant, tactically inevitable, or psychologically imposing against the very best.
FRANCE 36 IRELAND 14: EVERY PLAYER AND TEAM STAT
AFRICA PICKS: YOUR BEST MONEY-MAKING SIX NATIONS BETS
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