Siya Kolisi’s brilliant Springboks to fry Frogs in France

The Springboks will brutally deal with France in their Nations Championship Test match at the Stade de France in Paris. The South Africans will win by 15 points.

Springboks

The Springboks are the best team in the world, and they will reinforce that status with another commanding performance against France at the Stade de France in Saint-Denis, just outside Paris.

Keo is backing Rassie Erasmus’s world champions to win by 15 points, with the Springbok scrum, settled combinations and superior forward power proving too much for a French team disrupted by injuries and selection changes.

The Stade de France has been a fortress for the Springboks rather than the French. It was the venue of their 2023 World Cup triumph, which included a dramatic quarter-final victory against the hosts, and it is a stadium where the Boks have consistently delivered when the stakes have been highest.

Erasmus has resisted unnecessary changes, retaining the core of the match-day squad that beat the All Blacks 3-1 in Rugby’s Greatest Rivalry Series and making just two changes to the 23 that demolished Italy 66-7 in Turin.

Wilco Louw’s selection at tighthead prop and the retention of Lood de Jager in the starting second row are significant. The Springboks have the personnel to dominate the scrum, control the lineout and dictate the physical exchanges.

France have Antoine Dupont at flyhalf and Maxime Lucu at scrumhalf, with their preferred flyhalf options unavailable. Their pack is also depleted, and against this Springbok combination, that is a considerable disadvantage.

The Boks should win comfortably, and the result will be significant in the battle with the All Blacks for top spot in the southern hemisphere Nations Championship standings.

New Zealand should overwhelm Wales by 40 points, but the decisive matches in determining the final southern hemisphere standings will be the All Blacks against England and the Springboks against Ireland.

England, meanwhile, should be far too strong for Japan this weekend, with Keo backing a 40-point victory. Ireland should be equally emphatic against Fiji, winning by 30.

Argentina’s physicality and attacking quality should account for Italy by 15 points, while Scotland and Australia promise the closest contest of the weekend. Keo is backing the Scots by seven.

The weekend’s biggest statement, however, should come from Paris.

The Springboks have the form, the experience, the combinations and the forward power to make another emphatic statement against France.

Keo & Zels’ Nations Championship weekend predictions

FRANCE vs SPRINGBOKS (Friday, 10:10pm SA time)

FRANCE – 15 Théo Attissogbe, 14 Aaron Grandidier-Nkanang, 13 Kalvin Gourgues, 12 Yoram Moefana, 11 Louis Bielle-Biarrey, 10 Antoine Dupont (c), 9 Maxime Lucu, 8 Grégory Alldritt, 7 Cameron Woki, 6 François Cros, 5 Mickaël Guillard, 4 Florian Verhaeghe, 3 Sipili Falatea, 2 Julien Marchand, 1 Jean-Baptiste Gros.
Bench: 16 Peato Mauvaka, 17 Rodrigue Neti, 18 Régis Montagne, 19 Charles Ollivon, 20 Tom Staniforth, 21 Esteban Capilla, 22 Axel Desperes, 23 Émilien Gailleton.

SPRINGBOKS – 15 Damian Willemse, 14 Kurt-Lee Arendse, 13 Jesse Kriel, 12 Damian de Allende, 11 Ethan Hooker, 10 Sacha Feinberg-Mngomezulu, 9 Morné van den Berg, 8 Jasper Wiese, 7 Pieter-Steph du Toit, 6 Siya Kolisi (c), 5 Ruan Nortjé, 4 Lood de Jager, 3 Wilco Louw, 2 Malcolm Marx, 1 Ox Nché.
Bench: 16 Jan-Hendrik Wessels, 17 Gerhard Steenekamp, 18 Thomas du Toit, 19 Franco Mostert, 20 Cameron Hanekom, 21 Paul de Villiers, 22 Cobus Reinach, 23 Manie Libbok.

AFRICA PICKS: Nations Championship betting odds

ITALY vs ARGENTINA (Saturday, 1:40pm SA time)

ITALY – 15 Tommaso Allan, 14 Ange Capuozzo, 13 Paolo Odogwu, 12 Leonardo Marin, 11 Monty Ioane, 10 Paolo Garbisi, 9 Stephen Varney, 8 Lorenzo Cannone, 7 Manuel Zuliani, 6 Ross Vintcent, 5 Federico Ruzza, 4 Niccolò Cannone, 3 Simone Ferrari, 2 Giacomo Nicotera (c), 1 Danilo Fischetti.
Bench: 16 Gianmarco Lucchesi, 17 Muhamed Hasa, 18 Marco Riccioni, 19 Enoch Opoku Gyamfi, 20 Alessandro Ortombina, 21 Samuele Locatelli, 22 Alessandro Garbisi, 23 Federico Mori.

ARGENTINA – 15 Bautista Delguy, 14 Rodrigo Isgró, 13 Justo Piccardo, 12 Santiago Chocobares, 11 Mateo Carreras, 10 Tomás Albornoz, 9 Simón Benítez Cruz, 8 Juan Martín Scelzo, 7 Joaquín Moro, 6 Pablo Matera (c), 5 Pedro Rubiolo, 4 Guido Petti, 3 Francisco Moreno, 2 Bautista Bernasconi, 1 Boris Wenger.
Bench: 16 Facundo Bosch, 17 Mayco Vivas, 18 Joel Sclavi, 19 Ephraim Elias, 20 Juan Martín González, 21 Facundo Isa, 22 Gonzalo García, 23 Gerónimo Prisciantelli.

WALES vs ALL BLACKS (Saturday, 4:10pm SA time)

WALES – 15 Blair Murray, 14 Louis Rees-Zammit, 13 Eddie James, 12 Max Llewellyn, 11 Gabriel Hamer-Webb, 10 Sam Costelow, 9 Tomos Williams, 8 Taine Basham, 7 Jac Morgan, 6 James Botham, 5 Adam Beard, 4 Dafydd Jenkins, 3 Archie Griffin, 2 Dewi Lake (c), 1 Nicky Smith.
Bench: 16 Ryan Elias, 17 Gareth Thomas, 18 Dillon Lewis, 19 Ben Carter, 20 Taine Plumtree, 21 Reuben Morgan-Williams, 22 Dan Edwards, 23 Louie Hennessey.

ALL BLACKS – 15 Beauden Barrett (c), 14 Fehi Fineanganofo, 13 Quinn Tupaea, 12 Anton Lienert-Brown, 11 Josh Moorby, 10 Richie Mo’unga, 9 Cortez Ratima, 8 Wallace Sititi, 7 Peter Lakai, 6 Anton Segner, 5 Josh Lord, 4 Scott Barrett, 3 Fletcher Newell, 2 Asafo Aumua, 1 George Bower.
Bench: 16 George Bell, 17 Xavier Numia, 18 Pasilio Tosi, 19 Jamie Hannah, 20 Ethan Blackadder, 21 Leicester Fainga’anuku, 22 Kyle Preston, 23 Rieko Ioane.

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ENGLAND vs JAPAN (Saturday, 6:40pm SA time)

ENGLAND – 15 Freddie Steward, 14 Will Joseph, 13 Henry Slade, 12 Max Ojomoh, 11 Cadan Murley, 10 George Ford, 9 Jack van Poortvliet, 8 Henry Pollock, 7 Ben Earl, 6 Alex Coles, 5 George Martin, 4 Maro Itoje (c), 3 Asher Opoku-Fordjour, 2 Luke Cowan-Dickie, 1 Ellis Genge.
Bench: 16 Theo Dan, 17 Emmanuel Iyogun, 18 Joe Heyes, 19 Arthur Clark, 20 Ben Curry, 21 Greg Fisilau, 22 Archie McParland, 23 Marcus Smith.

JAPAN – 15 Kazuma Ueda, 14 Kippei Ishida, 13 Dylan Riley, 12 Samisoni Tua, 11 Riku Tokito, 10 Riku Kitahara, 9 Naoto Saito (c), 8 Jack Cornelsene, 7 Kanji Shimokawa, 6 Ben Gunter, 5 Warner Dearns (c), 4 Harry Hockings, 3 Shuhei Takeuchi, 2 Mamoru Harada, 1 Yota Kamimori.
Bench: 16 Kenji Sato, 17 Sojiro Otsuka, 18 Opeti Helu, 19 Michael Stolberg, 20 Tiennan Costley, 21 Shinobu Fujiwara, 22 Shinya Komura, 23 Jisu Lee.

IRELAND vs FIJI (Saturday, 10:10pm SA time)

IRELAND – 15 Mack Hansen, 14 Robert Baloucoune, 13 Jamie Osborne, 12 Bundee Aki, 11 Tommy O’Brien, 10 Sam Prendergast, 9 Jamison Gibson-Park, 8 Nick Timoney, 7 Josh van der Flier, 6 Ryan Baird, 5 Tadhg Beirne (c), 4 James Ryan, 3 Tadhg Furlong, 2 Rónan Kelleher, 1 Andrew Porter.
Bench: 16 Tom Stewart, 17 Tom O’Toole, 18 Sam Illo, 19 Darragh Murray, 20 James McNabney, 21 Craig Casey, 22 Ciarán Frawley, 23 Stuart McCloskey.

FIJI – 15 Ponipate Loganimasi, 14 Selestino Ravutaumada, 13 Setareki Bituniyata, 12 Josua Tuisova, 11 Jiuta Wainiqolo, 10 Ben Volavola, 9 Frank Lomani, 8 Peceli Yato (c), 7 Lekima Tagitagivalu, 6 Mesake Vocevoce, 5 Isoa Nasilasila, 4 Joseva Tamani, 3 Luke Tagi, 2 Tevita Ikanivere, 1 Peni Ravai.
Bench: 16 Zuriel Togiatama, 17 Vilikesa Nairau, 18 Inoke Ravuiwasa, 19 Kitione Salawa, 20 Elia Canakaivata, 21 Terio Tamani, 22 Caleb Muntz, 23 Iosefo Masi.

SCOTLAND vs WALLABIES (Sunday, 5:10pm SA time)

SCOTLAND – TBC

WALLABIES – TBC

Nations Championship Round 5 Preview